Monday, August 31, 2009

Premier League - Draft Recap

Welcome to the first edition of the draft recap - a round by round analysis of the draft. I'll comment on something I liked, something I didn't, and the logic behind my picks.

Round 1:
1. Kellan - Adrian Peterson, RB
2. Jamie - Michael Turner, RB
3. Chad - LaDanian Tomlinson, RB
4. Shaun - Maurice Jones-Drew, RB
5. Eric - DeAngelo Williams, RB
6. Chris - Steven Jackson, RB
7. Bryan - Frank Gore, RB
8. Alan - Larry Fitzgerald, WR
9. Jon - Clinton Portis, RB
10. Jeff - Brandon Jacobs, RB

What I Liked: Pretty much everything - no obvious reaches to be had here.
What I Didn't: Nothing - no one screwed up their first pick as far as I can tell.
My Pick: I was targeting Jacobs here, and was worried that Jon would get him in front of me. If he had taken Jacobs, I would've taken Portis, so it's not like his pick was a reach.

Round 2:
11. Jeff - Randy Moss, WR
12. Jon - Brian Westbrook, RB
13. Alan - Andre Johnson, WR
14. Jeff (via Bryan) - Steve Smith, WR (CAR)
15. Chris - Ryan Grant, RB
16. Eric - Pierre Thomas, RB
17. Shaun - Tom Brady, QB
18. Chad - Greg Jennings, WR
19. Jamie - Marion Barber, RB
20. Kellan - Darren McFadden, RB

What I Liked: Chad taking Greg Jennings - get that top 9 WR when the RB talent starts to thin out
What I Didn't: Again, no major reaches - most people have the same list for the first 25 players or so
My Picks: I was ecstatic being able to land 2 top 5 WRs in Round 2. It cost me Drew Brees, but it was worth it to me. Alan snagged Andre Johnson right in front of me, but I'm happy with Steve Smith.

Round 3:
21. Kellan - Calvin Johnson, WR (keeper)
22. Jamie - Reggie Wayne, WR
23. Chad - Marques Colston, WR
24. Shaun - Thomas Jones, RB
25. Eric - Dwayne Bowe, WR
26. Chris - Terrell Owens, WR
27. Bryan - TJ Houshmandzadeh, WR
28. Alan - Peyton Manning, QB
29. Jon - Wes Welker, WR
30. Bryan (via Jeff) - Drew Brees, QB (keeper)

What I Liked: Jamie grabbing the last of the top 9 WRs at pick 22.
What I Didn't: Dwayne Bowe as WR11 makes me a little nervous - he has all the talent, but his situation isn't ideal, as he'll be double teamed as soon as he gets off the bus.
My Pick: None this round

Round 4:

31. Jeff - Marshawn Lynch, RB
32. Jon - Roy Williams, WR
33. Alan - Ronnie Brown, RB
34. Bryan - Anquan Boldin, WR (keeper)
35. Chris - Chad Ochocinco, WR
36. Eric - Kevin Smith, RB (keeper)
37. Shaun - Knowshon Moreno, RB
38. Chad - Jonathan Stewart, RB (keeper)
39. Jamie - Antonio Gates, TE
40. Kellan - Larry Johnson, RB

What I Liked: I think Ochocinco is the WR most likely to crack the top 10 from those who weren't drafted that way.
What I Didn't: J Mo called this pick in via cell phone, and nearly blew his arm out reaching for Roy Williams. He's shaking off an injury, and underwhelmed last year. Probably could've been had two rounds later.
My Pick: Marshawn Lynch is more a pick for next year, since he's suspended the first 3 games. He was a 1st round pick last year, so I'm hoping he will get back to form. Ronnie Brown was my other option.

Round 5:

41. Kellan - Roddy White, WR (keeper)
42. Jamie - Willie Parker, RB
43. Bryan (via Chad) - Ray Rice, RB
44. Shaun - Bernard Berrian, WR
45. Eric - Brandon Marshall, WR
46. Chris - Donald Brown, RB
47. Chris (via Bryan) - Chris Wells, RB
48. Alan - Derrick Ward, RB
49. Jon - Eddie Royal, WR
50. Jeff - Matt Forte, RB (keeper)

What I Liked: Ray Rice might've been a bit of a reach, but I'm officially reaching man crush status with him. Good things just seem to happen when he gets the ball.
What I Didn't: Derrick Ward may be the starter, but Raheem Morris recently said he expects Ward to get roughly 40% of the carries - not what you want in a RB2.
My Pick: Keeping Matt Forte in the 5th was lucky last year - he was pretty much my last pick of the rookie RBs last year.

Round 6:
51. Jeff - Braylon Edwards, WR
52. Jeff (via Jon) - Joseph Addai, RB
53. Alan - LenDale White, RB
54. Bryan - Jason Witten, TE
55. Chris - Lee Evans, WR
56. Eric - Reggie Bush, RB
57. Shaun - Antonio Bryant, WR
58. Chad - Jamal Lewis, RB
59. Jamie - Santana Moss, WR
60. Bryan (via Jeff from Kellan) - Kevin Walter, WR

What I Liked: I personally think Reggie Bush is getting seriously undervalued in drafts. I know his knees are questionable, but if all things are equal I think Bush scores more fantasy points this year. Pairing the two means that if one gets hurt, Eric is still set.
What I Didn't: Pairing two WRs from the same team seems like a good idea when it's New England or Arizona, but Buffalo? Chris was at a distinct disadvantage drafting from a lab in Drexel's med school, but this has brainfart written all over it.
My Picks: I went safer here, taking Braylon Edwards with my WR3, who I think will be solid, and Addai as my RB4. I would've liked to take more of a chance instead of Addai, but with Lynch out 3 weeks, I needed to land a player who would definitely get carries early in the season.

Round 7:

61. Kellan - Matt Ryan, QB
62. Jamie - Santonio Holmes, WR
63. Chad - Torry Holt, WR
64. Shaun - Felix Jones, RB
65. Eric - Lance Moore, WR
66. Chris - Carson Palmer, QB
67. Jeff (via Bryan) - Donnie Avery, WR
68. Alan - LeSean McCoy, RB
69. Jon - Ahmad Bradshaw, RB
70. Jeff - Cedric Benson, RB

What I Liked: My mancrush on Felix Jones isn't as strong as it is on Ray Rice, but the upside in Round 7 is great. Not many RBs available that can put up big numbers like Jones can every time he touches the ball.
What I Didn't: A bit nitpicky, but I think Kellan could've waited until the turn at Rounds 8 and 9 to get Matt Ryan, with as deep as QB is this year.
My Picks: Avery was an upside play at WR, and once again Alan took my pick before I could get him in McCoy. In hindsight I should've gone McCoy, then Avery, instead of Avery then Benson.

Round 8:

71. Jon (via Jeff) - Tony Gonzalez, TE
72. Jon - Darren Sproles, RB
73. Alan - Hines Ward, WR
74. Bryan - Julius Jones, RB
75. Chris - Dallas Clark, TE
76. Eric - Greg Olsen, TE
77. Shaun - Anthony Gonzalez, WR (keeper)
78. Chad - Tony Romo, QB
79. Jamie - Donald Driver, WR
80. Kellan - Chris Cooley, TE

What I Liked: Tony Gonzalez is a top 3 TE, and getting him 3 and a half rounds after Gates is fantastic value.
What I Didn't: I can't find a reason to get excited about Julius Jones - he smokes cigarettes, he hasn't been relevant since I was in college, Seattle just signed Edge to compete with him. Reasonable value, but I would cringe every time I put him in the lineup and hit submit. Kinda like I will when I start Cedric Benson.
My Picks: None this round

Rounds 9 and 10:
81. Kellan - Devin Hester, WR
82. Jamie - Tim Hightower, RB
83. Chad - Shonn Greene, RB
84. Shaun - Steve Breaston, WR
85. Eric - Ted Ginn, WR
86. Chris - Chris Johnson, RB (keeper)
87. Chris (via Bryan) - Jerricho Cotchery, WR
88. Alan - Laveranues Coles, WR
89. Jon - Baltimore, DEF
90. Chris (via Jeff) - DeSean Jackson, WR (keeper)

91. Jeff - Chris Henry, WR
92. Jon - Jay Cutler, QB (keeper)
93. Alan - Eli Manning, QB (keeper)
94. Bryan - Percy Harvin, WR
95. Chris - Ricky Williams, RB
96. Eric - Derrick Mason, WR
97. Shaun - Rashard Mendenhall, RB
98. Chad - Michael Crabtree, WR
99. Jamie - Earl Bennett, WR
100. Kellan - Kurt Warner, QB

What I Liked: Kellan landing the 4th QB on my board at 100 overall is a crime. Great QB to pair with Matt Ryan.
What I Didn't: I'd be willing to get that Chad could've taken Warner in Round 10, then waited on Crabtree until Round 11, giving him a better QB and a later keeper in Crabtree.
My Pick: Chris Henry is a pick for next year - he'll be a free agent, and he'd be a WR2 on most teams. If he can use his great size to his advantage and stay out of trouble, he could be a top 20-30 WR next season.

Rounds 11 and 12:
101. Kellan - Josh Morgan, WR
102. Jamie - Aaron Rodgers, QB (keeper)
103. Chad - Matt Schaub, QB
104. Shaun - Correll Buckhalter, RB
105. Eric - Patrick Crayton, WR
106. Chris - Pittsburgh, DEF
107. Bryan - Leon Washington, RB
108. Alan - Fred Jackson, RB
109. Jon - Domenik Hixon, WR
110. Jeff - Donovan McNabb, QB

111. Kellan (via Jeff) - Earnest Graham, RB
112. Jon - Chester Taylor, RB
113. Alan - NY Giants, DEF
114. Bryan - Nate Washington, WR
115. Bryan (via Chris) - Minnesota, DEF
116. Eric - Philip Rivers, QB (keeper)
117. Shaun - Brett Favre, QB (keeper)
118. Chad - Michael Bush, RB
119. Jamie - Chris Chambers, WR
120. Kellan - Le'Ron McClain, RB

What I Liked: Alan has been getting my praise all article long thanks to stealing my players from under my nose all afternoon, but you have to like it when you can land a starter in Round 11, even if it's just for a few weeks while other rushing situations settle themselves out.
What I Didn't: I don't see Chris Chambers contributing anything of value this season - he'll cede playing time to up and comer Malcolm Floyd. Even if he continues to be the WR2 in San Diego, it means he's the 4th option behind Jackson, Gates, and Tomlinson. I also have a hard time thinking Favre was worth keeping with a 12th round pick. I'm not sure he would've been drafted otherwise. It may have been worth it just to toss him back into the draft pool and see what happened.
My Pick: Donovan McNabb was the best QB left on my board - I was hoping to land Schaub, who as we speak is limping around the sideline during the MNF preseason game.

Rounds 13-16:

121. Kellan - Jeremy Maclin, WR
122. Jamie - Jamaal Charles, RB
123. Chad - Visanthe Shiancoe, TE
124. Shaun - Miles Austin, WR
125. Eric - James Davis, RB
126. Chris - Matt Hasselbeck, QB
127. Bryan - Glen Coffee, RB
128. Alan - Zach Miller, TE
129. Jon - Nate Burleson, WR
130. Jeff - Stephen Gostkowski, K

131. Jeff - Owen Daniels, TE
132. Jon - Joe Flacco, QB
133. Alan - Sidney Rice, WR
134. Bryan - Fred Taylor, RB
135. Jeff (via Chris) - Bernard Scott, RB
136. Eric - NY Jets, DEF
137. Shaun - Brent Celek, TE
138. Chad - Tennessee, DEF
139. Jamie - Sammy Morris, RB (keeper)
140. Kellan - New England, DEF

141. Kellan - Jerious Norwood, RB
142. Jamie - Green Bay, DEF
143. Chad - Hakeem Nicks, WR
144. Bryan (via Shaun) - Nate Kaeding, K
145. Eric - David Akers, K
146. Chris - Kenny Britt, WR
147. Bryan - Steve Slaton, RB (keeper)
148. Alan - Ryan Longwell, K
149. Jon - Laurence Maroney, RB
150. Jeff - San Diego, DEF

151. Jeff - Chaz Schilens, WR
152. Jon - Mason Crosby, K (keeper)
153. Alan - Vincent Jackson, WR (keeper)
154. Shaun (via Bryan) - Rob Bironas, K
155. Chris - Jordy Nelson, WR
156. Eric - Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR
157. Shaun - Austin Collie, WR
158. Chad - Robbie Gould, K
159. Jamie - Neil Rackers, K
160. Kellan - Matthew Stafford, QB

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